Author
M.Sc. of Business Informatics, Faculty of Computers and Information, Mansoura University, Egypt
M.Sc. of Business Informatics, Faculty of Computers and Information, Mansoura University, Egypt
Abstract
Assessing credit risks is one of the most important problems in banking. The credit risk rating is a method of measuring the creditworthiness of enterprises and banks by analyzing their historical data. Most Egyptian commercial banks are unable to determine and predict credit risk rating and so far, there is no accurate model in Egypt for determining and predicting the credit risk rating of these commercial banks. In this paper, the researchers propose a fuzzy logic-based model that can assist in determining and predicting bank credit risk ratings. Taking the rating scale of Moody’s as an output for the proposed model. The proposed model is based on financial ratios used in Egyptian commercial banks i.e., profitability, debt-paying ability, operation ability, and liquidity to determine their credit risk rating. This model was implemented using fuzzy logic in MATLAB and applied to CIB Egyptian commercial bank. This model could help the decision-makers in the Egyptian commercial banks to determine accurately the credit risk rating of these banks.